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THE VERDICT: 5 reasons why Buhari will win – or 5 reasons why Jonathan won’t lose

THE VERDICT: 5 reasons why Buhari will win – or 5 reasons why Jonathan won’t lose
March 25
13:50 2015

Predicting the outcome of an election has never been this difficult. The reason is not too complex though: this is the first time since 1999 that the opposition party has gathered enormous momentum going into an election. What’s more: there seems to be a blossoming coalition between Muhammadu Buhari and the south. All you need do is look at the crowds and supporters at his rallies in the south, compared to the years gone by.

However, no one dare rules out an incumbent president in a developing country, so President Goodluck Jonathan should not be considered down and out. But he has had a lot of negative publicity in his first term — which puts him at a disadvantage, at least with many people. The election is a referendum on his government, not on Buhari’s regime of three decades ago.

There are good reasons for Buhari to be hopeful that he would win. And there are good reasons for Jonathan to believe that he too would win. We try to highlight each candidate’s hopes.

YES, BUHARI WILL DEFINITELY WIN…

Will he be fourth time lucky?

1. Bigger Base

In 2003, 2007 and 2011, Buhari was essentially a northern candidate with little support in the south. But he was clearly the darling of the “core north” and not the middle belt. Either as candidate of the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) or the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), Buhari never had any impact in the south and most of the middle belt. Today, as candidate of the bigger All Progressives Congress (APC) — which has swallowed ANPP and CPC, in addition to the south-west party, Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) — Buhari has a bigger and broader base. He never won 25% in any southern state before; this time, expect him to hit that threshold in all southern states, except perhaps Bayelsa.

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2. Bigger Purse

The formation of APC has not only given Buhari a bigger national platform, his war chest is now heavier. In the past, his finances were highly limited. He could not afford all the necessary logistics, such as buying enough campaign vehicles and maintaining them. He could not afford expensive media advertising. His supporters often taxed themselves to make expenses on his behalf. In 2015, the story has changed. Buhari is all over the newspapers, radio, TV and the Internet. He has a deep pocket courtesy of the support of governors such as Rotimi Amaechi and Aliyu Wamakko as well as wealthy Nigerians like Bola Tinubu and former vice-president, Atiku Abubakar. Buhari, from struggling to fuel his campaign vehicles long ago, now uses chartered flights.

3. Bigger Youth Support

Buhari was never the darling of the educated youth population until now. In 2011, Jonathan monopolised the market with his hold on the social media, where the youth are the most active. Buhari never had a Facebook page or Twitter handle. However, since he won the presidential ticket of his party in December, the story has changed completely. Youths who used to criticise Jonathan regularly on the social media simply moved to Buhari’s camp and, at some stage, drowned out pro-Jonathan voices. They have also been creative and proactive, criticising every move of Jonathan swiftly and generating a lot of viral messages against the president.

4. Better Image

Buhari used to be seen as a religious fundamentalist who was bent on Islamising Nigeria. He had also been credited with a couple of statements that seemed to paint him in that light. Long ago, he reportedly said Muslims should only vote for Muslims — a statement he denied. Last year, he was quoted as blaming Jonathan for the war against Boko Haram, reportedly saying a northerner gave Niger Delta militants but a southerner was instead killing northerners. All these reports painted him as a northern and Islamic champion. These impressions have since vanished, starting possibly from the moment he was attacked in Kaduna last year by suspected Boko Haram militants.

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5. Critical Issues

For once, the electioneering relegated sectional issues substantially to the background. Gone are the days of “it is our turn” or “Nigeria will be ungovernable if we don’t have it”. Jonathan, as the sitting president, has been confronted with issues of insecurity and corruption which his opponents have highlighted very well. Indeed, the message resonates well with many Nigerians who, despite opposing Buhari in the past, are now saying they would rather have him than four more years of Jonathan. Issues such as the kidnap of Chibok schoolgirls, the alleged $20 billion missing oil money, poor power supply and the menace of Boko Haram are uppermost on their minds. In a sense, the “change” campaign is more of an anti-Jonathan sentiment.

NO, IT’S JONATHAN FOR SURE…

Or will he return with smiles?

1. Incumbency Factor

In African politics, or the politics of underdeveloped countries for that matter, incumbents are hard to unseat. Incumbents have been defeated in some nearby countries — such as Cote d’Ivoire and Senegal — but these deviations are not the rule. In Nigeria’s history, incumbents have always returned: Tafawa Balewa (1960 and 1964, as prime minister), Shehu Shagari (1979 and 1983) and Olusegun Obasanjo (1999 and 2003). Their returns were always controversial. So either steal, beg or borrow, Jonathan may use the advantage of incumbency to return to power. The postponement of the election, for instance, is seen as a demonstration of incumbency power and it is believed that it has allowed Jonathan to re-strategise for victory.

2. The Nicodemus Factor

Although Buhari is dominating the airwaves, it could well be that those who are working for Jonathan are afraid of being “mobbed” and have decided to support him Nicodemusly (that means “secretly”, in case you are not familiar with the Bible story). In some parts of the country, those known to be supporting Jonathan have been attacked in the past. People lost their lives and property in 2011 for supporting Jonathan. There are various reports, mostly unconfirmed, that the northern elite are not well disposed to Buhari because of fear of vengeance. Some traditional rulers are also thought to be apprehensive about a scarcity of goodies under an anti-corruption icon like Buhari.

3. Southern/Middle Belt emotion

Although Buhari now has a larger and broader base, there are those who will not vote for him simply because they think the north has a “born to rule” mentality. No matter their misgivings with a Jonathan government, they will be happy not to have another northerner as president “so soon”. Some southerners still refer to the past when the north ruled Nigeria from 1960 to 1999, minus the four combined years of Obasanjo and Ernest Shonekan. This sentiment is still strong in some areas in the south, where some socio-cultural groups and elders are still talking about the “northern oligarchy”. The minorities in the north, meanwhile, seem to identify with the south in this aspect.

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4. Stomach Infrastructure

There is a language that is often spoken among Nigerians voters: stomach infrastructure. A bag of rice, a bottle of vegetable oil, a bundle of clothing or a few wads of naira could win their votes. It is a common factor in places where they do not have any serious interest in the candidates. When it comes to stomach infrastructure, then, Jonathan has a bigger storehouse than Buhari. Although Buhari has a deeper pocket this time around, his funders also have other battles they are waging. For instance, Tinubu and Amaechi are battling to install their governorship candidates, making the presidential election a bit of a distraction. More so, the postponement of the election appears to have depleted opposition’s resources, while PDP’s pocket seems bottomless.

5. South-west? Which south-west?

Buhari’s hope of unseating Jonathan seems to rest so much on the belief that the APC is in control of the south-west. Having scored 10 million votes less than Jonathan in 2011, the Buhari camp seemed to have finally accepted the fact that he needs southern votes to become president. Since 2003. he had consistently won 12 million votes in the north without much presence in the south. Nevertheless, the south-west may not be there for the taking in 2015. Out of the six states, Ondo and Ekiti are controlled by PDP governors. Then Oyo and Ogun are very shaky for APC, with the ascendancy of pro-Jonathan politicians in those states and the fracturing of the opposition’s structure. Meanwhile, Lagos and Osun should be seriously contested from all indications.

So who will win the presidential poll?

View Results

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114 Comments

  1. Ekyboy
    Ekyboy March 25, 14:38

    Jonathan wil win with slim margin.

    Reply to this comment
  2. KY
    KY March 25, 15:14

    In 15 or 16 years of PDP we cannot boast of any modern infrastructure. All we hear are promises and promises. No light. No road. No water. No jobs. No food. Depreciating currency. It shouldn’t be a crime to try something different? Is it?

    Reply to this comment
  3. KD
    KD March 25, 15:35

    We vote for GEJ in 2011, we thought he is going to perform but inversely, GMB will be the next president of my dear country Nigeria.

    Reply to this comment
  4. SANNI WAHEED
    SANNI WAHEED March 25, 15:44

    I TRUST ALMIGHTY GOD FOR CHANGE-ANOTHER GROUP OF LEADERS.FATHER,PLEASE GIVE US ANOTHER LEADERS TO MANAGE THE ABUNDANCE RESOURCES OF THIS NATION FOR THE BETTERMENT OF US ALL.AMEN!!FATHER,LORD THANK YOU FOR ANSWER TO OUR PRAYERS,AMEN

    Reply to this comment
  5. SANNI WAHEED
    SANNI WAHEED March 25, 15:46

    WE PRAY FOR CHANGE OF BATON.

    Reply to this comment
  6. So-Kleva
    So-Kleva March 25, 16:34

    Jonathan would win…that’s all…Buhari’s following is impressive…but just watch this space.

    Reply to this comment
  7. Gabyem
    Gabyem March 25, 16:38

    16 years of PDP nothing to show for it, Doyin Okupe said we can’t use new train in Nigeria expect locomotive ones, God will have mercy on our leaders in dis Nation.

    Reply to this comment
    • Jay
      Jay March 25, 17:08

      Doyinokupe is full why don’t him buy used cars that will kill him.

      Reply to this comment
    • okey
      okey March 25, 23:49

      Buhari will win

      Reply to this comment
    • Naija
      Naija March 26, 06:37

      Over 50 years of leadership by those who claimed they were born to rule did not bring any change either.I believe Gej who had no military background ruled with fear of the Boko haram both within his government and outside.As a result,he allowed everybody around him to do whatever they like in exchange for his survival.I believe in his next 4 yrs tenure we are going to witness a completely different Gej.The boko haram is already gone.Soon all the boko haram in his cabinet would go too and so will bribery and corruption disappear forever out of Nigeria.We are going to witness a very powerful economy and mass employment in the next 4 yrs with Gej.If we do not witness all these in the next 4 yrs,then we would vote for GMB if he contest again or another good candidiate

      Reply to this comment
      • EM-4-Life
        EM-4-Life March 26, 07:17

        @Naija: Would 400 Barrels of Oil per day going to GEJ also disappear? A thief will never catch a thief bro.

        Reply to this comment
      • shizzy
        shizzy March 26, 09:33

        Do u know how many people will lose their life if he should fail again? What if someone close to u dies bcos of his failure or even u? I can’t bear to wait 4 a day having him as a president sef.

        Reply to this comment
  8. OWM
    OWM March 25, 16:44

    One will win the other will be declared winner and neither will rule or ‘lead’

    Reply to this comment
  9. luckydube
    luckydube March 25, 16:49

    Gej for real vote for him

    Reply to this comment
  10. Nonny
    Nonny March 25, 16:50

    After 16 years of PDP all we could show for it is locomotive train.

    Reply to this comment
  11. Ay
    Ay March 25, 17:06

    We need a “change”, we need Buhari to make make a change

    Reply to this comment
  12. Jay
    Jay March 25, 17:12

    PDP has failed Nigerians for 16years and they also failed those who might be good people in the party . PDP had nothing to offer this country . If you like give them 1million chance they can never do anything worth while .

    Reply to this comment
  13. eby4uzo
    eby4uzo March 25, 17:13

    The state of Nigeria now (corruption, unemployment and insecurity) can only be sanitize by GBH….. Nigerians should learn not to put their eggs (PDP) in one basket, if we want a good governance..

    Reply to this comment
  14. mansion
    mansion March 25, 17:53

    GEJ will win

    Reply to this comment
  15. ID
    ID March 25, 18:05

    I believe GEJ had plenty of opportunity to print his name as worthy leader and hero in Nigeria but he bundled it either because he had no idea of what to do or was mis-advised or others. I dont believe things can be worse and i wonder why anyone thinks he deserves another 4 years of misrule.

    On the other part, i have heard a lot of people, comprising mostly south-eastern agreeing that GEJ has not done well enough but will rather vote him than support buhari either because he is too old or because of the people surrounding him or some very funny reasons like that. The last time i checked, grey hair was a blessing and i can count a number of older men that ruled and did excellently well (Reagan & mandela just to mention a few). On the issue of his allies, might be a cogent point but i know that if GEJ can wade off OBJ, his sole installer & benefactor, then who can the president not silence.

    Whatever it is, we should vote based on full & guided knowledge and not perception or temporary gratification/inducement, and most importantly, vote base on your conscience & the thought and plans for tomorrow, our future.

    God bless our country.

    Reply to this comment
    • Go-go & learn
      Go-go & learn March 25, 21:34

      Yours is the only objective statement i read yet!GEJ & GMB both have something in common in the above appellations:the G, i can also see that both have learn a lot and would try to be better LEADER if elected next time.In all, we the followers must learn to CHANGE too! You cannot have a change when individuals have not think of changing the way we passive issues!You ‘ll beter think of TRANSFORMATION than changes that you may never be able to maintain.Change is a wrong word for what we actually need. Even OBAMA of America is only transforming affairs in the State of America! Are you surprise? GEJ started transformation and was steady about it. If you know the level of decadence to which we have fallen ,you ‘ll cry for this nation,confirm this statement from OBJ? GEJ is the Man

      Reply to this comment
  16. pacino
    pacino March 25, 18:10

    GEJ is better candidate! He has performed better than his predeccesors! With the current trend

    Reply to this comment
  17. Kemmy
    Kemmy March 25, 18:19

    My vote goes to the people’s General. He has won already the hand writing is on the wall

    Reply to this comment
  18. big big meat
    big big meat March 25, 18:30

    Your comment..
    GEJ is a better option. He will win

    Reply to this comment
  19. skyscraper
    skyscraper March 25, 18:56

    PDP for 16yrs who are the PDP is Amechi not one of them or is it Atiku lol I pity you…Gej continuity

    Reply to this comment
  20. Eme
    Eme March 25, 18:58

    GEJ has performed more than any President that has ruled Nigeria. The facts are there and clear. It is surprising that some Nigerians imagine that Buhari will do better. There is absolutely no antecedent to show that.

    Reply to this comment
  21. Abinzon
    Abinzon March 25, 18:59

    Sai Buhari

    Reply to this comment
  22. kay
    kay March 25, 19:00

    GMB is tipped to win this time.

    Reply to this comment
  23. Rogers99
    Rogers99 March 25, 19:10

    I don’t want Buhari because of Tinibu…

    Reply to this comment
  24. niky
    niky March 25, 19:16

    Buhari is d best candidate fr dis gud country n I hope we all mke d right choice

    Reply to this comment
  25. Boy Ege
    Boy Ege March 25, 19:19

    I will vote for GEJ. Nigeria is safer in his hand.

    Reply to this comment
  26. Dele-Ola
    Dele-Ola March 25, 19:36

    The man after the heart of God will surely win by Gods Grace

    Reply to this comment
  27. Chogexe
    Chogexe March 25, 19:37

    Hear your president Buhari:”All Progressive Confidence” “Independent Nigeria Electoral Commission” and Prof. Femi Osinbade”.

    Reply to this comment
  28. GUCHI
    GUCHI March 25, 19:38

    There are those that want to vote GEJ simply because they dont want a northerner. I have one question for them. If u re-elect this man, are u ready to consistently demand the dividends of democracy from his govt? Am quite sure in your heart of hearts,u know he has under performed in the past six yrs.I know u will say yes but let me tell u, better dont mortgage your future and that of your children based on sentiments. Vote wisely

    Reply to this comment
    • EDUNNANNA
      EDUNNANNA March 25, 20:27

      u do not have anything to say. Whether u like it or not GOODLUCK MUST GO AHEAD AND COMPLETE HIS TRANSFORMATION AGENDA. GO TO SOME PARTS OF THE NORTH AND SEE WHAT HE HAS DONE. SO U NEED TO SUPPORT HIM. LET KEEP OUR RELIGIONS APART.

      Reply to this comment
    • Mog
      Mog March 26, 00:41

      What indices do u use to measure performance? What has GEJ not done right? Is it road, railway, airport, job creation, democratic reforms, freedom, youth empowerment? Take d statistics and compare other regim with GEJ. You will find out that he has done well. Unless u are not in this country. A man who established 14 university including a university in katsina state where GMB came from, haba, this man done try pass try. Lets give him another 4 yrs.

      Reply to this comment
      • Uche
        Uche March 27, 11:41

        Good comparison, in the life of this nation, tell me which government has earn what this administration earned in 6years.
        Tell me the level of corruption has never been elevated this high!
        Tell me, crude oil theft was never an issue brought to the front burner.
        Tell me, why recycle alleged criminals in this administration (even if) they have not been found guilty.

        Reply to this comment
      • amsaan
        amsaan March 27, 15:31

        You ar not serious, is it not our secondary schools been converted to be called new universities? Since from the day he created them, non among them has a single hall built by the FG, how can you take those places as higher institutions, Go and investigate b4 you talk.

        Reply to this comment
  29. sok
    sok March 25, 19:57

    Gej is not equipped. For d management of Nigeria. Economy. He surrendered all to Ngozi. One can be asking. Who is d president btween. Ngozi or dezani. Jonah. Pls go.nd enjoy your wealth . Let us try. GMB. HE IS ON TOP.

    Reply to this comment
  30. ola
    ola March 25, 19:58

    Even this sample online poll shows that majority of people are rooting for the General. Corruption has to be reduced if not eliminated in this country. I hope they will let the peoples will prevail.

    Reply to this comment
  31. babe
    babe March 25, 20:07

    The peoples general Sai Buhari

    Reply to this comment
  32. Dandy
    Dandy March 25, 20:09

    It is clear that Jonathan has failed this nation,so Buhari is the next president of our dear nation.

    Reply to this comment
  33. alikhan112
    alikhan112 March 25, 20:15

    #March4buhari #ihavedecided2015

    Reply to this comment
  34. Eka
    Eka March 25, 20:22

    Buhari has nothing good to offer Nigeria. GEJ is the man to vote for. His antecedents speaks for itself. Insecurity is a global issue it is not peculiar to Nigeria or to GEJ.

    Reply to this comment
  35. Bayo
    Bayo March 25, 20:29

    Buhari will win this election. TAN is just a lip service word. transformation without motion. GEJ is just like a see saw motion. All we hear is promises. No actualization.

    For your information, GEJ has dipped his hands into Nigeria Treasury. Many banks will lay off after the elections, NNPC cannot fulfill its 60% obligations to the IOCs so what are talking about. Many PDP states cannot pay salary.

    Lets have a change. Buhari all the way!

    Buhari will win Gbam!

    Reply to this comment
  36. Nikky
    Nikky March 25, 20:31

    Nigerians need to be patriotic. It baffles me if people still say things is ok the way it is in Nigeria. I think people should just be sincere in voting. I am casting my vote for Buhari

    Reply to this comment
  37. Lawtrickzy
    Lawtrickzy March 25, 20:32

    Good Luck Will Surely Win cuz He has done more than his predecessors in his four years. If GoodLuck was an APC incubent President i knw same people could av supported him. The change u people are agitating for, is it a person like BUHARI that will bring the supposed change. There are no Time Nigerian will not be DECEIVED by the word ‘CHANGE’. To u people d term “CHANGE” could be from Good to Better while to APC as a whole it may be CHANGE OF POWER FROM PDP TO APC. People like Tinubu or Buhari may not have d intrest of d masses at hand. GOODLUCK STILL HAS THE INTEREST OF THE MASSES AT HEART, WHAT IF HE WON THIS ELECTION AND IMPLEMENTED THE TRANSFORMATION AS A RESULTS FRM THE NATIONAL CONFERENCE THEN, WHAT CHANGE CAN BUHARI OR AS APC OFFER NIGERIA THAT WILL BE MORE THAN THAT. NIGRIANS IF U HAVE A PERSONAL PROBLEM WITH GOODLUCK PLEASE SETTLE IT, CUZ JONATHAN IS IMPROVING DAY BY DAY TO MEET OUR DEMANDS. IF U HAD ANY PROB WITH HIM SETTLE IT AMICABELY.

    Reply to this comment
  38. Igwe
    Igwe March 25, 20:40

    All I desire is peace in Nigeria

    Reply to this comment
  39. ale j
    ale j March 25, 20:59

    Your comment..it is only God that enthrones and dethrones . But I don’t see Jonathan becoming the President again. God bless Nigeria

    Reply to this comment
  40. kola
    kola March 25, 21:18

    Buhari will surely win……

    Reply to this comment
  41. goldsmith
    goldsmith March 25, 21:24

    We are tired of PDP fake promises for the past 16yrs.Let’s try APC for only 4yrs if we didn’t see any change from them we will vote them out by 2019.Let’s leave sentiments apart, I believe all of us knows the truth.Carry on the peoples General.

    Reply to this comment
  42. okpuzu
    okpuzu March 25, 21:44

    D Gen carry on, we are solidly behind you.

    Reply to this comment
  43. Korex
    Korex March 25, 21:49

    I think Jonathan will win the low margin.

    Reply to this comment
  44. dahmmy
    dahmmy March 25, 22:01

    Will need change in nigeria.so buhari will win…..say baba,say buhari

    Reply to this comment
  45. aya
    aya March 25, 22:05

    did you say no antecedent to show? this is an assignment for you,go and find out/learn more.

    Reply to this comment
  46. DBOSS
    DBOSS March 25, 22:23

    Your comment..@ KY……..During the thirty something years the northerners rule nigeria can you name any reasonable something they did? shuting of up NEPA did it start today? or the song nigeria jaga-jaga na today song?, what of crisis by African China and suffering and smiling by Baba Fela na today you hear am?, so why the blame on GEJ?

    Reply to this comment
  47. Goodluck 2015-2018
    Goodluck 2015-2018 March 25, 22:29

    AS WE ALL KNW, WEITHER U LIKE IT OR NOT, WITH UR VOTE OR WITHOUT UR VOTE, INFACT JONATHAN DON’T NEED UR VOTE TO REMAIN IN ASO -ROCK. BUHARIA’S TIME IS OVER, WE DON’T WANT A LOSER, WE NEED PEOPLE LIKE GOODLUCK THAT HAVE WINNING MENTALITY TO ALWAS WIN. BUHARI WILL LOSE AGAIN THIS TIME ACCORDING TO HIS LOSING HISTORY, 2003, 2007, 2011 AND BY GOD GRACE 2015.
    WE ARE MOVING FORWARD AND NOT RE-WINDING OR MOVING BACKWARD. GOODLUCK FOR FORWARD AND FUTURE CHANGE, BUHARI A SIGN OF BACKWARD CHANGE. I BELONG TO PDP FOR MONEY AND POWER, NOT POOR APC BEGGING FOR TASTE OF POWER IN DISGUISE OF CHANGE. WE KNW ALL UR SECRETES. U CAN NEVER BE BETTER THAN PDP. IF U PEOPLE NEED A CHANGE WAIT TILL OUR SON GOODLUCK COMPLETE HIS 8YEARS LIKE HIS PREDECESSORS BY THEN BUHARI WILL BRING UR SO CALLED CHANGE BY 2019 WHEN HE WILL BE 76 OR 78 YEARS, OR HIS SON WILL STILL BRING UR CHANGE. INFACT BUHARI MAY EVEN BUY PRIVATE CAR FOR U PEOPLE EACH WITH A DUPLEX BUILDING. BORE HOLE WATER IN UR DUPLEX, AND U WILL NOT PAY FOR NEPA BILLS AGAIN. ALL TERTIARY AND INSTITUTION WILL BE FREE. FREE HOSPITALS, HOTELS, INFACT U MAY EVEN VISIT OR CHAT WITH HIM ON FACEBOOK OR WATHAPPS. U CAN EVEN RELY ON HIM FOR ALL UR NEEDS. HMMMN I HOPE U’LL LIKE THAT. ABI WHO NO LIKE BETTER CHANGES LIKE THIS. SO BUHARI SULD BE PATIENT, HE SULD NOT RUN FASTER THAN HIS SHADOW, CUZ TIME STILL DEY PLENTY. HE CAN EVEN OWN NIGERIA IF HE LIKES,THAT IS AFTER GOODLUCK SECOND TENURE COMPLETED. SO BUHARI 2020- 2028. NO RUSH ABEG.

    Reply to this comment
    • Nath
      Nath March 25, 23:17

      I don’t mean to speak offensively in reply to what u’ve just written but from all indication what u sound like t me is very sentimental, what do u mean by finish his tenor of 8years? Nigerian constitution stipulates 4years and are-election If the performance of the government is satisfactory, what does a president have to proof in second tenure? Nothing. The first tenure that was supposed to be used to woo the electorate for a re-election was pperfomed woefully. And now that he wouldn’t need anything more from u, u want to still hand him the batten to continue is free hand of curupption and treacherous missdoings, that totally unreasonable if u ask me.

      Reply to this comment
    • God's Choice
      God's Choice March 26, 01:13

      is not about Buhari or Jonathan.
      It’s about true leadership for the people.
      We are one Country, It is time to think right.
      Those that didn’t make changes before can’t make it now

      Reply to this comment
  48. D Prince
    D Prince March 25, 22:45

    I wnder wat ppl think it took USA to der level both in politics and economy. Our problm in dis part of d world is dat we av eyes bt we av refused to see and we ar alws in a haste to draw to conclusion. I will wnt to sound it clear to everyone here dat no matter wat u feel GMB has has no plan for u and i. Transformation is a journey of patience… Gej has d right compass to Nigeria to d right destination.

    Reply to this comment
  49. aloma
    aloma March 25, 23:04

    GEJ has failed Nigerians, d money looted in his regime is enough to construct all the Federal road in nigeria, Abeg sai Buhari

    Reply to this comment
  50. Mike
    Mike March 25, 23:25

    Your comment..Jonathan will win.

    Reply to this comment
  51. posh spice
    posh spice March 25, 23:30

    GEJ all the way! All the people in my village are voting GEJ and none of them is on social media. It’s not about online poll.. God is merciful to Nigerians and will never allow GMB come back

    Reply to this comment
    • Emeka
      Emeka March 29, 17:03

      Too bad ur ppl can’t afford to be on social media like the rest of the world…too bad

      Reply to this comment
  52. Danfulani
    Danfulani March 26, 00:06

    It is clear that Jonathan has failed this nation,so
    Buhari is the next president of our dear nation. God all what we want is change. we really need change for the future of our children.

    Reply to this comment
  53. GOODLUCK 2015 - 2019
    GOODLUCK 2015 - 2019 March 26, 00:15

    @NATH: @NATH, I KNW U WANT BUHARI BUT LET ME TELL U THAT EVEN MILLIONS OF UR VOTES PATICULARLY WILL NOTE SAVE HIM FROM LOSING. GEJ ALL THE WAY. WAIT FOR BUHARI COME 2020 – 2028. JONATHAN OWNS 2015 – 2019.

    Reply to this comment
  54. fasco Kenny
    fasco Kenny March 26, 00:56

    Waiting to wellcome u sir GMB & Profesor Oshibajo to Aso Rock Abuja by may 29 2015 by God grace amen.

    Reply to this comment
  55. rock
    rock March 26, 01:04

    Are you from…Bayelsa?

    Reply to this comment
  56. scamp
    scamp March 26, 02:08

    I strongly believe Buhari will win this election for the simple fact that jonathans govt is a total failure and a disaster to the whole country.
    So I hope ppl will come out to vote for a change that will take us out of this quagmire instead of continuity of insecurity, unemployment, economic degredation etc.

    Reply to this comment
  57. emeka
    emeka March 26, 04:44

    Why are you people arguing.Gej has already won.it’s clear as water.all u gmb will be flushed out in ignominy.i advise you to switch now that its morning.

    Reply to this comment
  58. Socrates
    Socrates March 26, 06:49

    Hmmmn, having gone thru d comments i realised that some pple need change while others support continuity. Pdp n Apc are just name yet we want either change or continuity never mind person(s) operating under them. Goodluck n Buhari are different men of their various xcters. Both had being tested n wheighed for their performers. My questions are: Who is more liberal 2) who is a leader 3) what exactly is their interest for this country 4) who are there followers these n many questns nid to be asked. U may claim that gmb was a military man then but think of obj.

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  59. SBP
    SBP March 26, 06:55

    WOW! It is so interesting to read all these comment…but for peace sake, less corruption,prompt payment of salary and for the utmost progress of Nigeria…Vote for Buhari…Change is Needed…

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  60. Manny
    Manny March 26, 07:29

    Gej will definitely win this election,APC are noise makers,its not by making noise on social media PDP will GEJ will disgrace Buhari come 28th March.

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  61. Salam
    Salam March 26, 07:40

    Its Jonathan. The world is ruled by ideas these days and Jonathan has got ideas plenty. See what’s is happening to Aviation, Local content, Agric, MSME, CACS, 14 Universitiies, 125 almajiri schools, Dev Bank of Nigeria, 10 new power plants, Soverign wealth fund etc.
    The millions of farmers and almajiri will vote him back to power.

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  62. Toto
    Toto March 26, 08:24

    Mostly everybody are clamoring for change, to me change is not about staying @ BRT stand for hours before bus would come and when it comes you have to packed yourself like sandin, the change I want is to see light 24hrs,the change I want is to see my hausa or Igbo and Yoruba has my brother and the change I want is creativity,innovations and determined mind of making history. PDP has not nothing to offer this nation than to be condemning people. APC has brought so many creativity imagine a girl of 9yrs old gave Buhari her pocket money,what does that tells you? I voted Goodluck in 2011 base on personality ‘WELL EDUCATED’ he failed me woefully. Buhari has great mind of not giving up! Why would Goodluck wait so long before taking steps,you organise confab hoping to implement it,you are still waiting for 2nd term, do you think Nigerian are fools?. Buhari is a discipline man and because of that I will vote him and he is going to win by the special grace of God!

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  63. Rayshade
    Rayshade March 26, 08:49

    Your comment.. GEJ is going to win. Why should I vote for a man who don’t know the meaning of INEC and that of his party?

    Reply to this comment
    • Danosky
      Danosky March 28, 07:35

      Tell them. If a presidential candidate doesn’t know the full meaning of INEC, his party that he is contesting for APC and even the name of his vice presidential candidate Osinbajo, what will he know? Who will represent us? The change we need is a president that can remember (even Nursery and Primary school pupil know these things), etc. Whoever is having personal grudge against Mr President, let him settle it amicably bcos I think it is not just about elections. Thank you Rayshade. God bless Nigerian

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  64. zino
    zino March 26, 09:03

    Your comment..sai baba is the winner… even inec said it…

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  65. Derek
    Derek March 26, 10:25

    This is intrinsically to reason having gone through other pp comment hitherto , when u talk about Nigeria and pp wot comes to ur mind is criminality, corrupt pp, dubiousness , cheat, etc especially for some of us who re opportune to travel place in the world like Miami, New york , Kentucky, Europe, London ,Britain etc will agree with me dat the name Nigeria is a sin in these places what shall i say..every where in the world has equally experienced a worst time..but yet improved to be envied today..why Nigeria case has accepted to remain underdeveloped from one recycling leadership to the other infact the whole scenario is worry some….Imagine yesterday i met a south African lady sent to Nigeria and INTERNATIONAL OBSERVER while having a talk was placing a high superiority on herself speaking in police English just to make herself more distinctive as a south african citizen yes i don’t blame her cos they see noting here their country has gone wider more develop then Nigeria what more more should i say even our so called citizen has equally truncate the true national spirit no body believe Nigeria any more cos of countless disappointments by leadership squard. Now speaking about the two major presidential candidates…politics by bitterness is archaic to play politics of bitterness..cos if truly u have interest of a nation @ heart will be happy to accept defeat not to declare war to ur opponent way this is also begining of down troading in my capacity i will say both of them hav done equally well in testing polarity but for development of infracture probably the two will hav to muscle idea together ti win scorge ravaging our dear nation…
    I’m Engr Dererk

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  66. TJ
    TJ March 26, 11:45

    Your comment..Please, fellow Nigerians, our presido is on the right track of transforming this country for the good of its citizens. Changes don’t take place overnight,we all need patience. Let’s Jonathan another chance and the necessary support he needs, we don’t need policy reversal from a new person. Let’s keep faith alive God bless us. Please vote wisely

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  67. OMG
    OMG March 26, 12:29

    Your comment..GEJ is the man think and be wise for wisdom is above all Gen.BUHARI is gonna betray Nigerian Pls Nigerians think about all the word Gen.Buhari Has Been uttering due to defeat.He’s gonna be worst bcos his eyes are fill with vengance and his heart with grudges……..HE CAN NEVER AND WILL NEVER RULE,THIS IS A PROPHESY PLS APC & CO TELL BUHARI TO GO BACK TO HIS CATTLE’S…..PDP POWER are gonna dance shoki against APC

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  68. Abdul
    Abdul March 26, 12:43

    The situation we find ourselves is pathetic, a country with abandoned resources unfortunately the west has realize that, they prepare to put us in trouble so that it will lead to war, the final result is for their benefits, the emergence of the two candidates is a plan, let’s be careful & resist the game, otherwise black MAN is finished! to produce wires & vehicle no to produce even fertilizer No they don’t want, but to be dependant YES is what they want!

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  69. meg
    meg March 26, 13:20

    No shaking GEJ all the way.

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  70. Jibs
    Jibs March 26, 15:22

    We have foundational issue in Nigeria and a country that is built on corruption will keep breeding corruption in all aspect of national issues. Buhari cab upturn the mentality and people disposition towards ”get rich quickly” but not GEJ. Please vote Buhari and GEJ should try come other time.

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  71. jones
    jones March 26, 15:37

    Your comment..I strongly believed in continuity so let’s……….vote for Mr president.

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  72. ASSUMPTA EZECHUKWU
    ASSUMPTA EZECHUKWU March 26, 16:11

    GEJ MUST WIN THIS ELECTION BY THE GRACE OF GOD THOSE WHO ASK FOR CHANGE SHOULD LOOK AT WHAT GEJ IS ALREADY DOING AND ALLOW HIM TO FINISH. BOKO HARAM WE ARE MENT TO UNDERSTAND WILL STOP ONIY WHEN A NORTHERNER IS RULING US SO ANY OTHER TRIBE THAT COMES UP TO RULE THEY WILL SURFACE. OPEN YOUR EYE AND STOP MAKING US A SLAVE TO ONE TRIBE ALOWE GEJ TO FINISH AND YOU CAN COME AND DO ALL THE CHANGE YOU KNOW IN THE WORLD. CURRPT PEOPLE CALLING OTHERS CURRPT. WHO IS DECIVEING WHO. WHERE DID BUHARI GOT ALL THE MONEY FOR HIS CAMPAIN IF NOT FROM CURRPT GOVERNORS AND INDIVIDUAL.ALLOW GEJ THEY KNOW HIS PLANS FOR THE NEXT 4 YEARS THAT IS WHY THEY ARE FIGHTING HIM. LET HIM FINISH HIS TENOR YOU CANNOT SEE MUCH OF A GOVERNMENT CHANGE IN AN ALREADY SPOILT COUNTRY LIKE NIGERIA IN 4 YEARS

    Reply to this comment
    • The bomb
      The bomb March 30, 14:35

      Who is saying they (APC) are currupt u dont rmbr the missing 20bn does that not make PDP the most currupt.APC may have stolen some money but that does not make GMB currupt the guy has the intrest of nigeria at heart GEJ is the true criminal have you not heard about the 400 barells of oil missing every day so Assumpta Ezechukwu after hearing all this do u still suppurt GEJ

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  73. Helion
    Helion March 26, 17:28

    Your comment.. Y is it dat sm ppl re so selfish in nature? Believing dat unemployment, insecurit, embezzelment of public fund, assination, mis- economy etc started in GEJ tenure? Where as all dis been mentioned above has been de foundations which GEJ predecessors had lay down and it has eating deep down in Nigeria, so, no body shd blame GEJ of anythn becos he had work as a real man he is and he is de BEST among de REST. GEJ is whom i know! Thumb up 4 GeJ 2015 till 2019 PRSIDENT.

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  74. izy
    izy March 26, 17:58

    I seems that we Nigerians have short memory. The maladministration of Governments b4 that of Jonathan shld be blamed for our present predicament. Given the enamous problems that accummulated over the years the good works of the current Jonathan government could not be easily seen. To destroy is so easy but to rebuild is not only difficult but takes time. Jonathan needs another term to consolidate on his achievements. Only those blind folded by ethno religious and selfish consideration will not see anything in Jonathan. Pls fellow Nigerians vote GEJ. PERIOD

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  75. Muzakkir
    Muzakkir March 26, 19:44

    Buhari Must win the election by God Grace

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  76. Voice of Reason
    Voice of Reason March 26, 21:55

    Nigerians will be highly complacent to vote GEJ again. However, it is absurd to say GEJ has done nothing in his almost 6 years of reign. It is true DAT he did fantastic in d Agric Sector, Railway, Road and a few other areas, but at what cost? If these are d only things a government can boast of in 6 gud yrs of oil boom, what will such government carryout in 4 yrs of falling oil prices? Besides, I have never heard or seen any government in Nigeria perform better in second term dan it did in d first term. APC as a political party are dying to prove themselves to Nigerians as a better option, let us give them this chance. Sentiments apart, MY PEOPLE, VOTING BUHARI IS COMMON SENSE!

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  77. Fred
    Fred March 27, 05:24

    Buhari must win, God is involved.

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  78. apostle
    apostle March 27, 08:02

    The truth will set us free. As we give GEJ second chance, we shall see the change but not GMB, it is promise and fail. It is da nigerian syndrome.

    Reply to this comment
  79. naija_conscience
    naija_conscience March 27, 10:59

    Gej all the way

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  80. Osama Bin Laden
    Osama Bin Laden March 27, 19:05

    I love this TheCable poll, people without PVC can vote, even underaged guys can vote.

    Reply to this comment
    • Danosky
      Danosky March 28, 07:49

      APC agenda, that is the change they are clamouring for this great country. Underaged and people without PVCs will still vote. APC – CHANGE. Nonsense change.

      Reply to this comment
  81. nenychrist
    nenychrist March 27, 21:35

    Your comment..God’s choice for the now in Nigeria is JONATHAN.so my people pls let us stand with GOD.buhari and his gang can try again in 2019.

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  82. Mallamy
    Mallamy March 28, 04:48

    with Almighty Allah Major Gen. Muh Buhari Will Win 2days Election

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  83. muritalaismael95
    muritalaismael95 March 28, 05:40

    let buhari do the right thing let ours vote for him.witout buhari nageria is nothing, wit buhari nageria can do more better

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  84. Tonysco
    Tonysco March 28, 06:05

    Your comment..Gej will surely win

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  85. Ak
    Ak March 28, 07:46

    Your comment..Amen ln jesus name

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  86. Kellymeg
    Kellymeg March 28, 13:23

    # Team GEJ #

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  87. ben
    ben March 28, 23:04

    Your comment..jonathan shall win amen

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  88. Bencarson
    Bencarson March 28, 23:06

    One cannot b doing d same thing d same way continously and expecting a different result, CHANGE IS ONE CONSTANT THING IN LIFE SO I OPT IN 4 CHANGE….. Vote GMB,VOTE CHANGE….. ONELUV9JA

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  89. ramzy
    ramzy March 30, 21:23

    I have abt 79 candidate here dat vote 4 buhari sy baba sy buhari I really luv d man apc change 4 beta

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  90. kalu okam
    kalu okam April 14, 11:53

    This is the man that will bring that change we ve,been long waiting for

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