The Economist insists Atiku will win presidential election

The Economist insists Atiku will win presidential election
February 01
19:15 2019

The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) Africa is insisting that Atiku Abubakar, the presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) will win the February 16 presidential election.

On Friday, EIU Africa said the margin of victory is getting narrower as the election approaches, but Atiku and his political party will win the historic election.

: Less than 2 weeks before ‘s presidential election. Abubakar has floated idea of corruption amnesty. It is arguably an impolitic time for such a delicate proposal,” EIU Africa tweeted.

“Abubakar is hard-pressed to convince voters that he is a clean politician, having been on the receiving end of numerous graft allegations in the past.

“We retain out forecast for to win, but expected margin of victory is narrowing as the poll approaches.”

Previous Prediction

In 2015, the magazine also predicted victory for Muhammadu Buhari over then-incumbent Goodluck Jonathan, stating that Buhari was “the least awful choice,” which would be chosen “with a heavy heart”.

“Voters have ample cause to send Mr Jonathan packing. In a country where power has often changed through the barrel of a gun, the opposition All Progressives Congress has a real chance of winning through the ballot box,” The Economist said in 2015.

The research unit of London-based The Economist Magazine had said in 2018 that the PDP will win the 2019 election.

“Abubakar’s pledge is to reinvigorate the economy with pro-market reforms. Both candidates are from the northern Nigeria, where Buhari’s support base lies, presaging a fierce contest there,” EIU had said.

“With the vote likely to be split in the North, Abubakar will find it easier to garner support from the country’s south, which has traditionally been a safe haven for the PDP.

“This gives Abubakar an edge, as does popular frustration over the rise in joblessness and poverty (two of the biggest voter concerns) on Mr. Buhari’s watch, as well as growing insecurity in central Nigeria.”


There is a slight difference between The Economist, the newspaper, and The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), the research and analysis division of The Economist Group. But both companies are owned by The Economist Group.

“We are outspoken in our views. Unlike our sister company, The Economist newspaper, much of our work is bespoke for clients and remains confidential. But we share the same fierce passion for independence and integrity,” EIU explains the difference.

The latest prediction for the February election is from the outspoken EIU.


Lai Mohammed, minister for information and culture, had said The Economist’s — EIU –prediction was nothing but fake news.

“We have all read that the intelligence unit of The Economist said the PDP will defeat the ruling APC in 2019,” he had said.

“We have also read that the international financial institution HSBC said Nigeria’s economic development will be stunted if President Buhari gets a second term

“Let me state clearly that these reports are based on fake premises and, therefore, qualify as fake news. It is a psychological warfare by those who have been badly hit by our policies.”


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Social Comments


  1. Rex
    Rex February 01, 20:03

    Lets vote for a better tomorrow, VOTE ATIKU

    Reply to this comment
  2. Owale
    Owale February 01, 20:22

    Clinton was predicted to win the last American be it with Atiku

    Reply to this comment
  3. Aruba
    Aruba February 01, 21:04

    Atiku is the man to turn around our fortunes as a people. Buhari has grossly failed with his uninspiring leadership etched in nepotism and selective management of corrupt acts. Buhari sincerely has no economic programmes but has deliberately pacified Nigerians with poverty and hardship.

    Reply to this comment
  4. david
    david February 02, 04:12

    I think the reverse is the case here. More people think buhari will continue isn’t it. They are not giving Atiku any chance but Atiku might just be the one to terminate the cabal’s dynasty in Aso Rock!

    Reply to this comment
  5. O.C
    O.C February 02, 08:09

    Nigeria cannot go back the the mass corruption of the past 16 year.In 3 years and 9 Months President Buhari has fought well to rid the Judiciary of corruption,has built more infrastructure with less and is succeeding albeit slowly in ridding Nigeria of rot and decadence.

    Reply to this comment
    • Dizzydragz
      Dizzydragz February 02, 15:42

      Pls where are the infrastructures Buhari has built? Why are we not seeing them? What about the corruption he is surrounded by? Is corruption our biggest problem or poverty and unemployment? Lets be humane abeg.

      Reply to this comment

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