Run Tinubu! Run Osinbajo!
Why do we seek angels in the realm of humans? There are no messiahs, angels or a Doctor Strange to magic our problems away. We are all humans – fatally flawed but blessed species. Politics is not a game of piety and leadership is beyond moral sanctimony. We have to get down to brass tacks and deal with the real issues of leadership as regards the personalities we throw up for elective office.
The real issues of leadership as it concerns Nigeria are the capacity to bring about positive change in the system; initiate structural growth and development; build citizens’ confidence through transparency in governance; foster unity by inclusion and sensitivity to diversity; showing empathy; knowing the right things to say on the right occasions; understanding the economy; having the gravitas to take tough decisions; personal sacrifice and a sufficiency of character and patriotism.
As I have always said, Nigeria needs a unifier and healer as president in 2023. It also needs a sanitiser, a vacuumer; one who is not afraid to dare the undared. It needs a dauntless leader who is not afraid to be unpopular reforming the country. The good news is we do not have people of such constitution in short supply here. They abound.
No single government can fix all of Nigeria’s problems. We have to be realistic and measure our expectations. What we need is successive corrective leadership. One government addresses some fundamental challenges, and the next comes to build on the successes of the other as well as solve some prevailing problems. Governance should be a progressive continuum.
The Buhari administration like all other administrations before it has its failings, but it will be thoughtless to say the government has done nothing for the country. Clearly, there are some accomplishments in the area of infrastructure. The government did not abandon the projects of the previous administration; rather it completed them and initiated more developmental projects. Today, Nigerians can travel from Lagos to Ibadan by rail within a few minutes; they can now travel through the once tortuous Enugu-Onitsha Expressway; the second Niger Bridge is nearing completion – as well as many other infrastructural projects.
Are Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Vice-President Yemi Osinbajo defective leadership specimens? Well, their antecedents say otherwise. At the risk of lending myself to hagiography, Tinubu as Lagos governor showed his mettle. He worked out a roadmap for the state; had a diverse cabinet; in fact, he is reputed to be one of the few governors who appointed non-natives, including Igbo citizens, in their cabinet at the time.
Against a federal government allocation blockade, he governed Lagos with internally-generated revenues and was able to steer the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) to dominance in the south-west and then midwifing a merger with the Congress for Progressive Change and the All Nigeria Peoples Party for the parturition of the All Progressives Congress. We cannot ignore Tinubu. For what it is worth he has shown an uncanny ability to build consensus and mobilise consciences towards a cause.
Osinbajo is a fine gentlemen; a refined politician. He is brilliant, temperate, expansive, renascent and disciplined. He is an example of what the avant-garde Nigerian politician should be. Against all odds, he has remained loyal to his boss – a rare quality in these parts. Osinbajo appears to have the right words for every occasion, and he has a copious understanding of the issues of governance.
People with the capacity for governance are not in short supply here. But if we are seeking some flawless individuals or celestial beings to turn Nigeria around we will only be chasing a will-o-the-wisp. Again, we have to be realistic and measure our expectations.
In the phylum of Nigerians with proven capacity for governance, we have Kayode Fayemi, governor of Ekiti state, who has been rumoured to be interested in running for presidential office in 2023; Akinwumi Adesina, Buba Marwa, and many other distinguished Nigerians. Fayemi is perhaps one politician whose integrity and character has remained unsullied over the years.
Adesina, president of the African Development of Bank (AfDB), was first elected as the Bank’s president in 2015 and re-elected in 2020. He is an astounding economist. He graduated with a bachelor’s degree (first class) in agricultural economics from the University of Ife in 1981. He went on to earn a PhD in agricultural economics from Purdue University in the US. He has won many awards, and received global recognition and appointments. He also has sterling records on integrity and leadership. He came into the reckoning of most Nigerians when he was appointed as the minister of agriculture in 2011 by former President Goodluck Jonathan. He was named Forbes ‘African Man of the Year’ for his reforms in the agricultural sector.
But in practical terms, Tinubu, Osinbajo and Fayemi are in a better political stead for the top job. They should run. All should run.
Run Tinubu! Run Osinbajo!
By Fredrick Nwabufo; Nwabufo aka Mr OneNigeria is a writer and journalist.
Facebook/Instagram/Twitter: @FredrickNwabufo
Power rotation to the South should be premised on inclusiveness, love, fairness and justice. Otherwise, why bother to rotate power to the South?
For the sake of equity, let’s do some calculation:
1960-1966 (6 years) – Balewa, NE;
Jan-Jun 1966 (0.5 year) – Ironsi, SE;
1966-1975 (9 years) – Gowon, NC;
1975 (0.75 year) – Murtala, NW;
1975-1979 (4 years) – OBJ, SW;
1979-1983 (4 years) – Shagari, NW;
1983-1985 (2 years) – Buhari, NW;
1985-1993 (8 years) – IBB, NC;
1993 (0.25 year) – Shonekan, SW;
1993-1998 (5 years) – Abacha, NW;
1998-1999 (0.75 year) – Abdulsalam, NC;
1999-2007 (8 years) – OBJ, SW;
2007-2009 (2 years) – Yaradua, NW;
2009-2015 (6 years) – Jonathan, SS;
2015-2023 (8 years) – Buhari, NW;
Summary, by 2023, out of 15 times of 64 years:
NW has ruled 6 times totalling 22 years or 34%
NC has ruled 3 times totalling 18 years or 28%
SW has ruled 3 times totalling 12 years or 19%
SS has ruled 1 time totalling 6 years or 9%
NE has ruled 1 time totalling 6 years or 9%
SE has ruled 1 time totalling 0.5 year or 1%
Findings:
Based on average of 10.71 years per each of the 6 regions, NW, NC and SW are overfed, SS and NE are close to average, while the SE is GROSSLY cheated. Majorly marginalised. They should get the next slot.
If NW, NC and SW have managed Nigeria for 81% of the time, and if you add NE and SS it is up to 99%. What is the result?
Nigeria is the poverty capital of the world, one of the most corrupt according to TI, growing at very poor rate, suffering from nepotism, terrorism etc.
So there is nothing to lose by trying the SE people. After all, it is only a mad man that keeps trying the same thing and expects a different result.
Southern US was the confederate army during the American civil war.
In the last 30 years alone, 3 american presidents were from Southern America: George HW Bush, George W Bush both of Texas, Bill Clinton and nearly Hillary Clinton both of Arkansas. Before then, there have also been Dwight Eisenhower, Lyndon Johnson, Jimmy Carter etc.
America and the western allies fought against Japan, Germany and Italy. Post 2nd world war, they were less stupid than Nigeria and implemented a massive peace and economic initiative (Marshal Plan) to rebuild these else while antagonists. Today, they are tight allies.
So Nigeria should cease fire. No matter the issues around the civil war, let Nigeria grow up and move forward.
The country is far better for it. It is not as if the ones that have managed the country have done such a marvellous job post civil war.
It is big time hypocrisy to pressure northerners not to monopolise the presidency but to allow power to the south, then at the same time to deny a very critical part of the country with sound and qualified persons the same opportunity as others.
Stop all these bigotted opinions since they are setting us backwards. United we would have gone very far.
Igbo (ogbonnaya Onu) stepped down for Olu Falae of SW (inclusiveness) and voted for OBJ of SW over Ojukwu (inclusiveness), again voted for Yaradua of NW over Ojukwu ( inclusiveness), refused offers for VP and voted for Jonathan of SS (inclusiveness). Finally, voted for Atiku of NE (inclusiveness).
For instance, Igbo have held positions of trust and excelled amazingly – Ibe kachikwu, Chibuike Amechi, Uche Orji (SWF) of Buhari era. Also to a lesser extent Godwin Emefiele. When budget padding and incompetence in budgeting was messing up Buhari’s regime, they quickly drafted in Ben Akabueze former Economic Planning Commissioner of Lagos State to become Director of Budget. Now for the first time in recent hsitory, Nigeria approved its 2020 budget in December 2019!
Before then, Prof Bart Nnaji (power sector roadmap), Ernest Ndukwe (GSM), Prof Soludo (bank consolidation), Dr Okonji-Iweala (foreign debt write off and financial transparency), Prof Akunyili (best NAFDAC), Miss Chinyere Anohu-Amazu (PENCOM reforms), Dr Arunma Oteh (SEC reforms), Dr Oby Ezekwesili (Mrs Due Process), Dr Chike Obi (AMCON reforms), Prof Chukwu (Ebola eradication).
So that clime consistently generates sound persons. Check out the educational indices in Nigeria – excelling in WAEC, JAMB, Unity Schools etc.
This plan will immediately produce permanent end to the Nigeria-Biafra civil war.
It will defuse the separatist clamour from parts of southern Nigeria.
It has precedence with the intervention of IBB and the north on behalf of the SW to hijack PDP for OBJ and also the tendency that caused Ogbonnaya Onu of SE to step down leading to SW vs SW contest in 1999 all to appease the SW for the annulment of MKO’s victory.
There are also major precedencies with the differential cut off marks in the unity schools whereby a child from SE may score above 130 versus below 20 in the NW or NE. Same allowance for university intake with the following allowances:
1. Educationally disadvantaged states
2. Catchment area
3. Equality of states
This is further replicated in civil service practice of quota system etc
So equity always requires he that has much sharing with he that has less. Then there is enough all around.