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THE EPL PANEL: Arsenal to draw? Man U to win?

THE EPL PANEL: Arsenal to draw? Man U to win?
August 23
10:55 2014

Are you struggling with your Barclays Premier League predictions?

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Do not fear, because TheCable now brings you the predictions from our team of analysts comprising Kayode Tijani, Aisha Falode, and Sunday Omeike ahead of another weekend of matches.

Key stats from Opta are added as dessert!

Kayode Tijani

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Kayode Tijani

Aston villa 2-1 Newcastle

Chelsea 3-0 Leicester City

Crystal Palace 1-1 West Ham

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Southampton 2-0 West Brom

Swansea 2-1 Burnley

Everton 1-1 Arsenal

Hull City 1-2 Stoke City

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Spurs 1-0 QPR

Sunderland 1-2 Manchester United

Manchester city 2-1 Liverpool

Aisha Falode

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Aisha Falode

Aston villa 2-2 Newcastle

Chelsea 4-0 Leicester City

Crystal Palace 1-0 West Ham

Southampton 2-1 West Brom

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Swansea 2-1 Burnley

Everton 1-1 Arsenal

Hull City 1-1 Stoke City

Spurs 2-1 QPR

Sunderland 1-3 Manchester United

Manchester City 2-2 Liverpool

Sunday Omeike 2

Sunday Omeike

Aston Villa 2-1 Newcastle United

Chelsea   2-0 Leicester City

Crystal Palace 1-1 West Ham United

Southampton 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

Swansea City 2-0 Burnley

Everton  1-2 Arsenal

Hull City 1-1 Stoke City

Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

Sunderland 0-2 Manchester United

Manchester City 3-1 Liverpool

 

Opta Stats


Aston Villa v Newcastle

  • Villa have scored only one goal in six of their last seven Barclays Premier League games against Newcastle.
  • Newcastle have taken 13 points from their last five Barclays Premier League encounters with Aston Villa. They are 2.98 to win.
  • Aston Villa have won only nine of their last 31 Premier League home games. The draw is 3.45.
  • Newcastle drew only one of their 19 Premier League away games last season (W7 L11). Villa are 2.62 to inflict another defeat.
  • Newcastle have lost each of their last five Premier League away games. They last lost six in a row in March 2008. Aston Villa are 4.6 to win half-time/full-time.
  • Only one of Newcastle’s 43 goals in 2013-14 was scored by an English player. French striker Emmanuel Riviere is the favourite to score for Newcastle at 2.87.
  • Newcastle were the only team not to hit a shot on target on the opening weekend. Aston Villa are 3.3 to keep a clean sheet.
  • Andreas Weimann, who scored for Villa at Stoke last weekend, has scored the club’s last two Premier League goals at Villa Park. He is 2.75 to find the net.
  • Four of Villa’s last five Premier League goals at home have come before half-time. They are 3.3 to be winning at half-time.
  • Newcastle debutant Remy Cabella created three goalscoring chances last weekend, more than any of his team-mates. Cabella is 3.25 to get onto the score sheet himself.

Chelsea v Leicester

  • Chelsea won four Barclays Premier League games in a row against Leicester before the Foxes were relegated in 2004. They are 1.21 to make it five.
  • The Foxes have only ever won one of eight Premier League trips to Stamford Bridge (W1 D2 L5). Chelsea are 1.72 to win half-time/full-time.
  • Chelsea are top of the Premier League after the first match day. None of the previous three instances (1999, 2008, 2010) have seen them go on to win the title. You can lay Chelsea to win the title at 2.48.
  • Chelsea have kept seven clean sheets in their last eight Premier League games at Stamford Bridge. They are 1.79 to keep a clean sheet.
  • But Chelsea won neither of their final two Premier League home games in 2013-14 (D1 L1). You can lay them at 1.22.
  • Only once has Jose Mourinho gone three Premier League home games without a win (April-May 2007). The draw is priced at 8.0.
  • Cesc Fabregas has assisted 50 goals in his last 104 Premier League appearances. Fabregas is 2.62 to score himself.
  • Fabregas assisted only one goal and failed to score in six Premier League appearances at Stamford Bridge for Arsenal. Leicester are 13.5 to keep a clean sheet.
  • Leicester won 14 of their 23 away games in the Championship last season, three more than any other side. They are 18.0 to pull off a shock victory.
  • The Foxes’ last away defeat in the league came last December v Brighton. You can lay Chelsea to be winning by half-time at 1.69.

Crystal Palace v West Ham

  • Three of the last five Barclays Premier League meetings between Palace and West Ham have ended as 1-0 wins for the Eagles. Another Palace victory by that scoreline is priced at 7.2.
  • West Ham claimed one win from five London derbies away from home last season (D1 L3). A Palace win is 2.52.
  • After going three entire Premier League seasons (& 97 games) without a goal, Brede Hangeland scored on his PL debut for Crystal Palace. Hangeland is 8.0 to score again.
  • Palace conceded twice from set-pieces in their opening game, one more than they did in the whole of Tony Pulis’ regime (excludes penalties). Over 2.5 goals is 2.56.
  • Palace (7) scored fewer goals in London derbies than any other Premier League capital club last season. Under 2.5 is 1.61.
  • West Ham haven’t lost their opening two Premier League games since 2010/11, a season in which they were relegated from the division. You can back West Ham at 1.6 in the Double Chance market.
  • Palace have had fewer shots than any other Premier League team this season (2). West Ham are 3.2 to keep a clean sheet.
  • Keith Millen has taken only four points in five games as temporary manager of Crystal Palace in the Premier League. A West Ham win is 3.25.
  • Palace have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four Premier League games after conceding only five times in the previous nine. Over 3.5 goals is 5.1.

Southampton v West Brom

  • Southampton have only ever scored five goals in eight Premier League encounters with West Brom but three of those goals have resulted in 1-0 wins, including both matches last season. The Saints are 8.0 to win by the same scoreline.
  • With 13 goals in eight fixtures, matches between Southampton and WBA have averaged only 1.6 per game.
  • WBA’s Saido Berahino was the only player to score more than once in the opening round of Premier League games. Berahino is 3.25 to score.
  • Dusan Tadic has provided three assists in his last three league games (2 for FC Twente, 1 for Southampton). Tadic is 2.87 to score.
  • Saints have scored 11 goals in their last five Premier League home games. Over 2.5 goals is 2.02.
  • The Baggies have scored a total of only two goals in their last nine Premier League away games in August. Southampton are 2.72 to keep a clean sheet.
  • West Brom have never won a Premier League game away from home in August. Southampton are 1.89 to win.
  • Southampton and WBA have both been involved in three high-scoring draws (2-2 or higher) in 2014, no club has experienced more this year. The draw is priced at 3.7.
  • Three teams were awarded a penalty on the opening day of the Premier League season but WBA were the only ones to score. The odds of a penalty being taken is likely to be available at around 4.5.

Swansea v Burnley

  • Swansea’s Ashley Williams scored an own goal in the last meeting of these sides back in 2011. Williams is 9.0 to score at the right end this time round.
  • Only one of Gylfi Sigurdsson’s eight Premier League goals for Swansea has come at home. Burnley are 6.2 to keep a clean sheet.
  • Swansea are looking to win three Premier League games in a row for the first time since August 2012. They are 1.67 to win.
  • The Swans have kept only one clean sheet in their last six Premier League home games.
  • Burnley lost fewer away games (3) than any other team in the Championship last season. You can lay Swansea at 1.69.
  • In their previous Premier League campaign (2009-10), Burnley took only four points away from home (W1 D1 L17). Swansea are 2.62 to win half-time/full-time.
  • Burnley’s record of 13% of their points coming away from home in 2009-10 is the lowest proportion in a single Premier League season. They are 1.57 to be relegated.
  • Wilfried Bony has scored five goals in his last five Premier League appearances. Bony is 2.1 to score.

Everton v Arsenal

  • Everton’s victory against Arsenal in April ended a run of 13 without one against the Gunners in the Barclays Premier League. They are 2.8 to repeat that win.
  • Arsenal are the only away team to score six goals in a Premier League game at Goodison Park (in August 2009). They are 4.3 to win half-time/full-time.
  • Steven Naismith has scored four and assisted two in his last nine Premier League appearances. Naismith is 3.0 to score.
  • Arsenal have now gone four games without a win against Everton, their worst such run in the Premier League. The draw is 3.5.
  • The Gunners have never gone five league games without beating the Toffees in their history. Arsenal are 2.76 to win.
  • Arsenal have not won their opening two league games since 2009 (which included a win against Everton). The Arsenal half-time/draw full-time double result is priced at 13.0.
  • Last season Everton opened the season with two draws; they drew their opener last week at Leicester. The draw half-time/full-time is 5.0.
  • Everton have scored at least two goals in each of their last six Premier League home games.
  • But two of the Toffees’ last three Premier League home games have seen them lose 3-2.
  • Arsenal won more away games than any other Premier League team in 2013-14 (11), yet ended the season with a goal difference of only +2 on the road. A 1-0 Arsenal win is 11.0.

Hull City v Stoke City

  • 180 minutes of football between Hull and Stoke in the Barclays Premier League last season produced a total of just one goal (from Osaze Odemwingie).
  • Stoke have lost just one of their last 10 games against The Tigers (W4 D5).
  • Hull have not won consecutive Premier League games since September last year. The draw is 3.35.
  • Only relegated Cardiff and Norwich (two each) won fewer away games than Stoke (3) in the Premier League last season. Hull are 2.5 to win.
  • Nikica Jelavic has scored only five goals in his last 48 Premier League appearances. Stoke are 3.15 to keep a clean sheet.
  • Peter Crouch is playing a fourth successive season with the same club for the first time in his career (played in three seasons for Villa, Liverpool & Spurs). Crouch is 3.25 to find the net.
  • Crouch is the only player in Stoke’s Premier League history to reach double figures for away goals (he has 10). He is 9.0 to score the last goal.
  • James Chester has only ever had three shots on target in the Premier League but has scored two goals. Chester is 11.0 to score again.
  • Hull conceded only 21 Premier League goals at home in 2013-14, the same number as Manchester United. They are 2.62 to keep a clean sheet.

Spurs v QPR

  • Tottenham have won four of their last six Premier League games against QPR, with one of those wins masterminded by current Rangers boss Harry Redknapp.
  • In their last Premier League campaign (2012-13), QPR took fewer points from London derbies than any other side (nine in 10 games).
  • QPR have won just four of their last 40 Premier League games.
  • Tottenham have won four of their last five Premier League games.
  • Joey Barton has created more goalscoring chances than any other Premier League player this season (6).
  • Tottenham, along with Stoke, were one of only two teams not to pick up a booking on the opening weekend.
  • Tottenham have won each of their last four Premier League home games, scoring 14 goals in the process.
  • The Lilywhites have won all but two of their Premier League home games in 2014 (losing to Manchester City and Arsenal).
  • In 102 Premier League London derbies at home, Spurs have only won one more (38) than they have drawn (37).
  • Rio Ferdinand has not conceded a foul in any of his last 27 Premier League appearances.

Sunderland v Manchester United

  • Sunderland’s win at Old Trafford in May ended a run of 23 Premier League games against Manchester United without a win.
  • Manchester United have conceded just two goals in their last seven trips to the Stadium of Light in the Premier League.
  • Wayne Rooney has scored 81 Premier League away goals, only six short of Alan Shearer’s all-time record.
  • Manchester United ended the 2013-14 season with exactly the same away record as Chelsea and Manchester City (W10 D4 L5)
  • After assisting a goal in each of his opening three Premier League appearances for Manchester United, Juan Mata has assisted only one more in 13 games for them.
  • Sunderland have scored at least once in 10 of their last 11 Premier League games.
  • The Black Cats have won four of their last six league games, including victories against Chelsea and Manchester United.
  • Manchester United have lost 13 Premier League games since September 1 last year.
  • Adnan Januzaj has assisted only one goal in his last 14 Premier League appearances.
  • Sebastian Larsson’s goal on the opening day equalled his haul in both 2013-14 and 2012-13. He scored seven times in his first season for Sunderland.

Manchester City v Liverpool

  • Manchester City have scored exactly two goals in each of their last four Premier League games against Liverpool.
  • Liverpool have conceded as many goals in their last four league trips to the Etihad as they had in the previous 11 (10).
  • Daniel Sturridge has scored 32 goals in 44 league games for Liverpool.
  • Sturridge (136 mins) has the fifth best minutes-per-goal rate in Premier League history (minimum 50 goals), ahead of former team-mate Luis Suarez (139).
  • Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero (115 mins) has the best minutes-per-goal rate in Premier League history.
  • Edin Dzeko has scored five goals and assisted one more in his last five Premier League appearances.
  • The last time Liverpool came from two goals down to win a Premier League game was in this fixture in October 2008 (0-2 down, won 3-2).
  • Man City scored 63 league goals at home last season, more than 15 of the 20 Premier League clubs managed in total.
  • Both City and Liverpool won only two of their six games against fellow members of the top four in 2013-14 (including a win apiece against each other).
  • City have conceded 98 goals at home in Premier League North West derbies.

 

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