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Tinubu still the ultimate kingmaker ─ and other lessons from the Lagos APC gov primary

Tinubu still the ultimate kingmaker ─ and other lessons from the Lagos APC gov primary
December 06
11:27 2014
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The last time Lagosians witnessed anything close to the All Progressives Congress (APC) primaries of Thursday/Friday was in 1999 when Bola Ahmed Tinubu, national leader of the party, engaged the late Funsho Williams in a battle for the governorship ticket of the then Alliance for Democracy (AD). Tinubu won the primaries and won the gubernatorial election as well.

In 2003 when he sought reelection, there was no one else in contention for the party’s ticket, so he coasted to victory, steering the wheels of the state for another four years.

At the expiration of his tenure, his successor, Babatunde Fashola, emerged the consensus candidate of the Action Congress (AC) and subsequently won the election, too. Fashola is six months away from completing his second term but his own successor was never going to emerge through a similar process; and this led to the electoral exercise at the main bowl of the Onikan stadium, Ikoyi, lagos.

The primaries for 13 aspirants have now been concluded and although Akinwunmi Ambode is the happy one, there are lessons for everyone.

TINUBU STILL THE ULTIMATE KINGMAKER

Tinubu appointed him permanent secretary, ministry of finance

Tinubu appointed him permanent secretary, ministry of finance

Many of his colleagues lost political relevance at the end of their governorship tenures, but eight years on, Tinubu, who the Borgu Kingdom in faraway Niger state bestowed with the chieftaincy title ‘Jagaban’, is by every inch decisively active not only in Lagos but nationally. Being the founder of the Action Congress (AC), which constituted the backbone of APC, Tinubu has been the national leader of the main opposition party.

When he publicly backed his chief of staff in 2007, some aggrieved candidates tried to pursue their ambitions via other party platforms but none of them could stop Tinubu’s anointed candidate, Babatunde Fashola. It is now seven years and very little seems to have changed. Since it became public that Akinwunmi Ambode had the backing of the man he served as accountant-general of Lagos, only other aspirants and their most loyal supporters must have harboured thoughts of the ticket going elsewhere.

Had the defunct Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) not joined the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) and others to form the APC, Tinubu would never have allowed a primaries just like it happened in Fashola’s era. Having to take his candidate through the primaries was a true test of his grip on the party. Now, he has emerged unscathed.

Who knew Ambode at the beginning of the year? Adeyemi Ikuforiji, the first man in the history of the state to be elected as speaker of the state assembly twice, was certainly more popular. Ganiyu Solomon, a former local government chairman, former member of the state assembly and a serving senator, was expected to provide a sterner test than the result showed. With 3, 735 votes to Obafemi Hamzat’s 1,201, Ambode could afford to forfeit two-thirds of his vote – and he would still have emerged winner! It really doesn’t matter what anyone thinks of Tinubu’s hardline brand of politicking, he is still the undisputed kingmaker of Lagos. For now, yes. For a long time to come, too? Maybe.

THERE’S MORE TO ELECTIONS THAN INCUMBENCY SUPPORT

shasore fashola

Fashola and Shasore… a weak alliance?

The ‘incumbency factor’ is a lexicon that the tickles the average politician. An incumbent governor seeking reelection is literally guaranteed a return; and if he has a candidate, someone has already become governor before the election date! In states such as Kano, Sokoto and Rivers, the incumbency calculation worked; the governors helped their favourites to the party’s governorship ticket. Not in Lagos.

Olasupo Shasore, erstwhile Lagos state attorney-general and commissioner for justice, must have silently told himself he stood a real chance to be governor in 2015, being the favourite of outgoing governor, Babatunde Fashola. Mention the incumbency factor to Shasore from now and expect a different reaction this time. “So what?” he could say!

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7 Comments

  1. kennedy
    kennedy December 06, 17:46

    AM SO SICK AND DISSAPPOINTED IN THIS UR ARTICLE.INSTEAD OF CALLING HIM A DICTATOR THAT HAS LAGOS AS HIS PERSONAL ATM. U ARE PRAISING HIM.A COMMON CRIMINAL.IF ITS EKITI . U WOULD TAG HIM CRIMINAL AS D HEADLINE. WE ARE TIRED OF TINUBU. WE NEED A CHANGE. OBJ WAS BUSY BURNING DOWN GOVT BUILDING WITH THE HELP OF HIS THUGS AND UNSEATED TWO GOVERNORS NOBODY MADE NOISE.NOW HE IS BABA O. SOYINKA AND FEMI FALANA WAS SLEEPING THEN. I DON TIRE

    Reply to this comment
    • Buki Morgan
      Buki Morgan December 07, 01:17

      I cannot but agree more with KENNEDY…
      HE HAS SUMMED UP ALL THE NEEDED TO BE SAID ABOUT TINUBU.

      TINUBU IS AN UNDEMOCRATIC, UNACCOUNTABLE. CORRUPT, BIGOT, WHOSE DEEDS HAVE FINALLY CAUGHT UP WITH HIM, AND WHOSE METHODS ARE THOSE OF A DICTATOR.
      THE MORE PEOPLE DISCOVER HIS UNPLEASANT TRAITS, THE MORE THEY WARM UP TO AND SUPPORT THE LIKES OF FASHOLA AND AMBODE…THEY ARE SMART ENOUGH TO DISEMBARK FROM HIS SINKING SHIP.

      TINUBU DID NOT MAKE EITHER OF THEM, WHO ARE, RESPECTIVELY; A BRILLIANT LAWYER
      AND AN ACCOMPLISHED ACCOUNTANT.

      TINUBU IS NOTHING BUT A FAKE AND A FORGER, quite unlike the DYNAMIC DUO.

      HE IS ON THE FINAL DYING GASP OF A CORRUPT OPPRESSOR, WHO HAS LONG PASSED HIS “SELL-DY DATE”

      Lieutenant Colonel (Dr) Buki Morgan MBBS psc MNIM NAF MC rtd.
      CONSULTANT FLIGHT SURGEON
      ex USAF Malcolm Grow Medical Center
      Presidential Flight Line
      Andrews Air Force Base
      HOME of AIR FORCE ONE
      Maryland, Washington DC, USA…1987

      The United States Air Force School of AeroSpace Medicine (USAFSAM)
      San Antonio, Texas
      USA…1978
      Distinguished Alumnus: USAF SCHOOL OF AEROSPACE MEDICINE, BROOKS AFB, San Antonio, TX, 1987

      USAF AIR UNIVERSITY, MAXWELL AIR FORCE BASE, MONTGOMERY, AL
      FOREIGN OFFICERS LANGUAGE SCHOOL, LACKLAND AFB, TX…1978

      Wing Commander (Dr) Buki Morgan MBBS psc MNIM MC NAF rtd.
      CONSULTANT FLIGHT SURGEON
      ex Headquarters, Nigerian Air Force Medical Centre
      Yoruba Tennis Club Avenue, Onikan, Lagos and
      Presidential Flight Line
      Nigerian Air Force,
      Sam Ethnan Air Force Base
      Murtala Mohammed International Airport
      Ikeja, Lagos,
      Nigeria …1972-1990

      From my iPad 2 in Colindale, London & Surulere, Lagos
      07 Dec 2014

      NIGERIANS ARE NOW THINKING INDEPENDENTLY, AND DISCOVERING THE DESIRABLE LEADERS IN THEIR MIDST.

      Abandon All these CORRUPT OPPRESSORS.like TINUBU

      Reply to this comment
  2. AA
    AA December 06, 17:59

    What I love about Ambode’s emergence is the democratic manner with which he was elected as the APC candidate. My advice to the other aspirants is to rally behind the man for the REAL battle in 2015.

    Reply to this comment
  3. Buki Morgan
    Buki Morgan December 07, 00:25

    I couldn’t agree more with KENNEDY.. HE HAS CAPTURED THE ESSENCE OF THE PREVAILING WISDOM. BOLA TINUBU IS A HAS-BEEN, who has exceeded his SELLBY DATE.
    TINUBU would never have permitted the PRIMARIES, because ESSENTIALLY HE IS AN UNDEMOCRATIC, UNACCOUNTABL, CORRUPT DEMAGOGUE.

    HIS METHODS ARE THOSE OF A DICTATOR.

    PEOPLE SAW THE BRILLIANT QUALITIES IN FASHOLA AND AMBODE BEFORE ENDORSING THEM. A THOUSAND WILD HORSES COULD NOT HAVE DRAGGED THEM TO HAVE VOTED FOR ANY OTHER PERSON, TINUBU SUPPORT OR NOT.
    AND THE MORE PEOPLE WITH QUALITIES LIKE BABATUNDE FASHOLA & AMBODE DISCOVER THE EVILI THAT TINUBU IS THE EASIER IT BECOMES FOR THEM TO ESTABLISH THEIR INDEPENDENCE.
    FASHOLA IS A BRILLIANT LAWYER, JUST AS MUCH AS AMBODE IS A COMPETENT ACCOUNTANT. THESE ARE DESIRABLE ATTRIBUTES THEY BOTH POSSESS. TINUBU DOES NOT HAVE ANY OF THESE QUALITIES. AND THAT IS WHY PEOPLE ARE SICK AND TIRED OF HIM. HE IS ON THE LAST GASP OF A MONUMENTAL HAS-BEEN.

    Reply to this comment
  4. oba
    oba December 07, 11:50

    Obviously both Buki and Kennedy are not schooled in Nigerian Politicking. No doubt Ambo is qualified for the job and can hold his own but is he a politician? Does he have a political structure? Can he play the game (say all you want, politics is still a game of strategy anywhere in the world). Answers to the questions above is why Fayose is the Governor in Ekiti. Fashola/Shasore are technocrats but not politicians. Until we get someone that can combine both, the likes of Jagaban will have a tight grip on Nigerian Politics.

    Reply to this comment
  5. Owo
    Owo December 08, 08:33

    Tinubu qualified as a Certified Public Accountant in the US. He left Mobil Producing Nigeria Unltd to win the senatorial seat for Lagos central in the third republic. How then can he be inferior to men that God helped him to make in Lagos politics?

    Tinubu brought Fasola and Ambode to become Lagos governor and is backing Buhari to be president. Obasanjo brought Shagari, Umaru Yar’Adua and Jonathan to become Nigeria president!

    Tinubu succeeded in founding the centre left-national opposition party, the APC. A task at which the great Awo, Falae and others failed!

    Stop rehashing false charges against Tinubu. After all, Obasanjo sent Ribadu to Lagos when Tinubu was governor and Jonathan took him to the Code of Conduct Tribunal. And they failed to prove any case against him.

    Reply to this comment
  6. De Angel
    De Angel December 08, 10:55

    It’s wonderful to see people talk like humans. That is what makes us man.Our complex nature exposes us to diffrent paradigms.I agree with the defination that “Politics is the game of who gets what,when,and how”. On the battle field,superior knowledge counts.It’s like the game of football,winnig is not everything,it’s the only thing. The masters are known by their abilities to make things happen. When you ban Okada today and your wife start importing tomorrow; a few months later, you lift that ban because election is close,it only predict a bad omen.

    Reply to this comment

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November 13, 2018USDGBPEUR
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